So we are getting more results...
May. 10th, 2020 01:30 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
johnny9fingersWith some rather lovely graphs:
The other chart doesn't always load so it's here:
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-covid-deaths-per-million-7-day-average
From which we can deduce a few things:
1. Sweden and the UK are, despite being Northern European nations supposedly able to deal with such things, doing worse than the US. This will change as US numbers start reflecting its political confusion regarding the lockdown. Even so, the UK and Sweden have to answer to their population for their respective responses.
2. It really does appear to coincide with the rapidity of response. Quarantine, testing and contact tracing are vital.
3. Nations reopening too early are starting to see a growth in numbers of infected and a change in the R number for the worse.
We all know we have to get back to work. Timing is important. We have pressure groups who are becoming vociferous in their objection to the lockdown; www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/08/lockdown-groups-far-right-links-coronavirus-protests-american-revolution and we have ordinary folk who are in two minds.
What we need is expert analysis of the data, and judgement calls made on that basis. Not Daily Telegraph op-eds; nor frothing at the mouth Daily Heil columnists tweeting as if they had been carted off to Buchenwald without having their iPhones confiscated.
Oh well.
From which we can deduce a few things:
1. Sweden and the UK are, despite being Northern European nations supposedly able to deal with such things, doing worse than the US. This will change as US numbers start reflecting its political confusion regarding the lockdown. Even so, the UK and Sweden have to answer to their population for their respective responses.
2. It really does appear to coincide with the rapidity of response. Quarantine, testing and contact tracing are vital.
3. Nations reopening too early are starting to see a growth in numbers of infected and a change in the R number for the worse.
We all know we have to get back to work. Timing is important. We have pressure groups who are becoming vociferous in their objection to the lockdown; www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/08/lockdown-groups-far-right-links-coronavirus-protests-american-revolution and we have ordinary folk who are in two minds.
What we need is expert analysis of the data, and judgement calls made on that basis. Not Daily Telegraph op-eds; nor frothing at the mouth Daily Heil columnists tweeting as if they had been carted off to Buchenwald without having their iPhones confiscated.
Oh well.
no subject
Date: 2020-05-10 01:36 pm (UTC)And as for those pressure groups...I worry about what they'll do once they get what they want. If they get what they want. Rich people with more callousness and militancy than sense to go with their money...