johnny9fingers: (Default)
I found this about the most likely route to avoid Boris and Dominic doing a “find the lady” on the rest of us.

Apparently it’s all fairly mechanistic, deterministic and clockwork:

MPs pass the Law blocking No Deal Brexit
Vote of No Confidence immediately called
Johnson demands General Election under Fixed Term Parliaments Act
Vote of No Confidence Passes
Vote for GE rejected, fails to get required two thirds of MPs
MPs select Caretaker PM commanding the support of majority the House
*** Prorogue Intermission ***
Johnson refuses to resign as PM
MPs send Humble Address to Queen
Queen sacks PM
Queen appoints Caretaker PM nominated by MPs
Caretaker PM moves Brexit Date out ahead of any General Election
Caretaker PM calls General Election

Thanks to LucianOfSamosata from the Graun.
johnny9fingers: (Default)
The new term starts. Bojo now has to cope with rebellions, cross-party alliances and all the razzmatazz that accompanies such high-stakes constitutional gambling.

Having come across as Uncle Benito in a child's Winnie-the-Pooh costume, because Dominic told him he had to be strict-and-stern to stop the nasty splitters splitting, he now has to deal with a temporarily united opposition.

Of course, the Labour party have finally realised that Bojo still holds trump cards: he can be forced to go to the EU and beg for an extension period, but he can veto it too. (It's in the rules that any member can veto an extension and until we leave; Boris has that vote.) He can be forced to hold a general election, but he can always put back the election date to past our leaving date for a perfect fait accompli. His hands can't be tied. And he cannot be trusted. So he has to be forced out and replaced by a government of national unity for the remainder of the Fixed Term Parliament.

And that's not going to happen.

This is going right to the wire.
johnny9fingers: (Default)
Has Boris moved too early?

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49493632

This may just possibly give the opposition the motivation to get behind Ken Clarke or Harriet Harman as leader and stop the whole thing from being a total disaster.

Tempo is everything in politics. This is a surprising move given he has now telegraphed his intent and limited the time in which any opposition has to happen; this has to concentrate the opposition to a Hard Brexit. I guess Boris and Dominic are pretty assured of the general complacency and pig-headedness in the Labour Party coming to the assistance of the Hard Brexiter group. In this I think their analysis to be correct. But I live in hope that I’m wrong.

I didn’t know that some in the British Establishment hated the Good Friday Agreement that much; because it appears that the ERG and Tory party have repudiated it completely; either that or they were just too fucking stupid to realise what they were tinkering with, having always overlooked every fucking Irish question that has ever been raised.

Well, I’m getting an Irish passport. Brexit has done this. I will always acknowledge HM as my personal liege, but her government is something I find intolerable atm.
 
johnny9fingers: (Default)
www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/aug/26/brexit-shutting-down-parliament-gravest-abuse-of-power-in-living-memory-legal-advice

They’ve just cottoned on, you know. And Lady Chakrabarti, although Shadow Attorney General, may have a position which she views this from.

Boris can legitimately argue that parliament has already voted to leave under any circumstances on the 31st Oct. The deal is done and dusted. This is what happens when people vote stupidly, whether they are in parliament, or the general population; or those enfranchised thereof.

I guess I’d say to the 52% that you have brought this upon yourselves, and us all. And the sensible minority among us now have to find a way to repair the damage you have caused. But under our breaths we shall curse you. And when misfortune befalls you we will have some secret joy.

But you’ve done your job; all those snowflake lefties, moderates, old-fashioned folk, gun control hypocrites, etc are all so angry that instead of prayers at night, they probably take a poppet made in one of your heroes’ likeness and stick it full of pins, just to make them feel better. Old-fashioned English sympathetic magic? Well I did read about some pagan chaps who were doing whatever it is they do against Boris and his ilk, but I’ve always thought of that sort of thing as the perfect definition of reaching for the impossible. But I can see it being comforting for some, otherwise powerless folk.

You’ve weaponised the peaceniks, how very droll. And Boris as the cat’s paw, that’s even droller.
johnny9fingers: (Default)
www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/aug/26/boris-johnson-warning-mps-block-no-deal-brexit

I thought we had sorted this out in the Civil War; Parliament is sovereign. Not the government, not the monarch, but Parliament.

Boris is really going to be in a difficult situation if he rides roughshod over Parliament. It may take the speaker to step in, of course, but I think he might just do that.

Bliss.

But at least Bojo gets to capitalise on Cameron and Osborne's Fixed Term Parliament Act and can drag us out of Europe without Parliamentary approval on the idea of a no-deal Brexit.

This is all so shocking it really is like an accidental coup d'état by the stupid and hard of thinking; but led by a scholarship boy who spent his whole life coasting on his intelligence and who never actually worked hard at anything apart from getting his leg over. (I know the breed well, as I am something similar; excepting I have the patience to read and parse the GFA and understand the implications of Brexit without an agreement.)

As for Boris, may I recommend the opening lines to Catullus XVI:

Pedicabo ego uos et irrumabo...

Or is that what he's doing to us?

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